g According to Opinion Dynamics Poll, 54% of adult men and 33% of adult women believe in aliens. It is known that 48% of the population are men. What percentage of adults believe in aliens?

Respuesta :

Answer:

[tex] P(A) = P(A|M)*P(M) + P(A|F)*P(F)[/tex]

And replacing we got:

[tex] P(A) = P(A|M)*P(M) + P(A|F)*P(F)= 0.54*0.48 + 0.33*0.52= 0.4308[/tex]

And that would be the probability of believe in aliens.

And by the complement rule we have:

[tex] P(A') = 1-P(A) = 1-0.4308= 0.5692[/tex]

Step-by-step explanation:

For this case we have the following probabilities:

[tex] P(M) =0.48[/tex] probability of being male

[tex] P(F) =1-0.48=0.52[/tex] probability of being female

[tex] P(A|M) = 0.54[/tex] probability of believe in aliens given that is male

[tex] P(A|F) = 0.33[/tex] probability of believe in aliens given that is female

And we can use the total rule of probability given by:

[tex] P(A) = P(A|M)*P(M) + P(A|F)*P(F)[/tex]

And replacing we got:

[tex] P(A) = P(A|M)*P(M) + P(A|F)*P(F)= 0.54*0.48 + 0.33*0.52= 0.4308[/tex]

And that would be the probability of believe in aliens.

And by the complement rule we have:

[tex] P(A') = 1-P(A) = 1-0.4308= 0.5692[/tex]